Macquarie

First Preference Distribution Percentiles

Party Mean 0.5% 2.5% 5% 10% 25% 75% 90% 95% 97.5% 99.5%
Labor 40.5 26.3 29.7 31.4 33.1 36.4 44.7 48.1 50.3 52.7 56.5
Liberal 33.9 22.8 25.6 27.0 28.5 30.8 36.7 39.8 41.6 43.3 48.1
Greens 12.5 6.3 7.3 7.7 8.7 10.4 14.2 16.5 17.9 19.6 22.1
One Nation 9.5 3.6 4.5 4.9 5.7 7.1 11.4 14.1 15.6 16.9 19.9
Libertarian 2.0 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.4 2.4 3.3 3.9 4.4 5.6
Family First 1.6 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.6 4.8